Putin, the anti-colonialist The Kremlin’s new model of Russian ‘soft power’ will fuel anti-Western resentment in Southern Europe, South America, Africa, and Asia
Article by Andrey Pertsev. Translation by Anna Razumnaya.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine led many countries to break off various kinds of partnerships with Russia. Still, Russian authorities, and President Vladimir Putin personally, continue to insist that Russia enjoys global support, in spite of the supposed depredations of the “collective West.” In reality, this is far from being true. For instance, only five countries opposed the UN resolution that condemned Russia’s illegal annexations of Ukrainian territories. These were Belarus, Syria, Nicaragua, North Korea — and Russia itself. Against this background of losing international support, the Kremlin is now endeavoring to dust off the concept of “soft power,” whose meaning has lately changed in response to Russia’s increasing isolation. In contrast with its earlier efforts to shape opposition movements in the West, Russia’s new idea of “soft power” is about rallying the world’s “oppressed countries” in opposition to the “pernicious Anglo-Saxons.”
Two Kremlin insiders have spoken with Meduza about the way in which Putin’s administration is shaping its strategy of global influence. The Kremlin appears to be placing its bets on certain southern-European countries (like Portugal and Greece), South America, Africa, and Asia. In the past, one of our sources explains,
In his recent speeches, Vladimir Putin has often mentioned colonialism. Meduza’s sources close to the Kremlin suggest that work on revising Russia’s “exportable” image began in the spring of 2022. Of the various possibilities he was presented with, Putin picked the anti-colonial narrative, which implies a focus on the countries that supposedly have “nothing in common” with the West (as Putin himself understands it), and can be expected to try following their own “special path.” Kremlin insiders have listed some of the key ideas singled out for promotion in South America:
The message for Southern Europe is going to be different. There, the Kremlin will accentuate the idea that Southern Europe is facing the most dire economic situation in all of the EU (even though this is far from the truth). Secondly, the Russian side would like to convince Europeans that they’re headed for a “crisis of traditional values” — and that things will only get worse. (Putin has already touched on this theme a few times — for instance, in his recent Valdai Discussion Club speech.)
Generally, the Kremlin is intent on promoting the ideas of “the decline of the West” and global power redistribution — as well as the idea that “to put it simply, America is f****d” (as formulated by a source close to the administration). The plan is to position Russia as a global anti-colonial leader — through media relations, engaging the “elites” abroad, and other kinds of outreach. This will all be managed by Rossotrudnichestvo — the federal agency for cultural exchange — and its international branches known as “Russian houses.” In the fall of 2022, a number of them opened across several African countries.
The person in charge of these efforts is the diplomat and former State Duma deputy Evgeny Primakov, Jr., the son of Russia’s former prime minister. The advisory board of Rossotrudnichestvo is headed by Igor Chaika, the protagonist of multiple anti-corruption investigations and the son of Yury Chaika, Russia’s notorious former Attorney General.
One of our sources suggests that, in South America alone, Russian “soft power” will get tens of millions of dollars in financing. Rossotrudnichestvo will get this funding both from the government budget and from segments of Russian business loyal to the Kremlin.
According to informed sources, the ideological revival of Russian “soft power” will be entrusted to EISR (Expert Institute for Social Research), an “in-house” Kremlin think tank founded in 2017, following the appointment of Sergey Kiriyenko to his present “ideological” position in the administration.
The Kremlin hopes that its “anti-colonial” agenda needn’t suffer from Russia’s military defeats in Ukraine. The plan is to say something like “Look at us — the whole of the West is trying to overwhelm the one country that dared to oppose it. This country perseveres and holds its ground.”
Another aim of this “soft power” revival is “to show the other pole that we have our allies, we are not alone, and we influence the global agenda.” This isn’t very different from the Soviet ideas of foreign policy.